Kosmos 482

Soviet Spacecraft Crash Lands on Earth After a Journey of Half a Century
The New York Times - May 10, 2025

it is thought to have landed in the Indian Ocean, shortly before the midpoint (indicated by X) of this updated risk window map

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UPDATE from ESA:
Status 10 May 09:56 CEST

As the descent craft was not spotted by radar over Germany at the expected 07:32 UTC / 09:32 CEST pass, it is most likely that the reentry has already occurred.

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A Soviet spacecraft will crash to Earth this month
n2yo.com - includes the next time it will pass over your location

A Soviet-era spacecraft that failed to reach Venus is due to crash back to Earth this week
CNN - May 6, 2025

A Half-Ton Spacecraft Lost by the Soviets in 1972 Is Coming Home
The New York Times - May 7, 2025

REENTRY PREDICTION SOVIET-ERA VENERA VENUS LANDER
European Space Agency

COSMOS 482 DESCENT CRAFT (ID 6073) - Reentry Prediction
aerospace.org
Possible reentry locations lie anywhere along the blue and yellow ground track. Areas not under the line are not exposed to the debris.

Kosmos 482 Descent Craft reentry forecasts [PERIODICALLY UPDATED]
interesting blog post with lots of graphs, background information, and most up-to-date current risk window map

You can probably track it using other methods. The probe's NORAD ID is 6073. Also handy to know: UTC is 5 hours ahead of us.

If you haven't heard about this yet, this failed Soviet space probe never left the pull of Earth's gravity (when a visit to Venus went awry) and has been slowly circling and descending since Apr 1972... for 53 years! Learn more at NASA.gov.

This Soviet stamp commemorates the Venera 8 mission to Venus.
PUBLIC DOMAIN

At this point, no one knows where this piece of space debris is going to land, but they do know that 1) it is the size of a small car, 2) it will impact the land or water at approximately 150 mph, and 3) it is designed to survive landing on Venus so it will most likely survive re-entry. Oh and, as of May 6, the landing location could be anywhere between 52 N and 52 S latitude.

Get ready for an exciting weekend!

"The annual risk of an individual human being injured by space debris is under 1 in 100 billion."